Naz Reid Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2024

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Naz Reid

NBA · Player Props

Naz Reid

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 14, 2024

Updated May 15, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naz Reid has attempted 12.9 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 86th percentile for threes scored, putting up 2.0 per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Naz Reid will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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