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Naz Reid

Naz Reid Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naz Reid has successfully made 6.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home.

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid rates in the 86th percentile for three-pointers made, tallying 2.1 per game this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The number of points totaled against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (16.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Naz Reid has attempted 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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