Naz Reid Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Naz Reid

NBA · Player Props

Naz Reid

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naz Reid has made 3.0 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three overall this season.
Naz Reid has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Suns).
The Timberwolves check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Naz Reid has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Favors Under

Naz Reid has sunk a lowly 48.3% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly less than his 56.7 rate last season.
The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.1%).
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves.
Naz Reid figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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