Naz Reid Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Naz Reid

NBA · Player Props

Naz Reid

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naz Reid has sunk 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from three in all games this season.
Naz Reid has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The clash with John Collins ranks in only the 87th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs averaging an enormous 15.5 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Favors Under

Naz Reid has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Naz Reid ought to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this matchup.

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