Naz Reid Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Naz Reid

NBA · Player Props

Naz Reid

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naz Reid has successfully made 54.4% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 14.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing away from home.
The faceoff with Anthony Davis places in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs hitting a massive 0.8 three-point shots per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Naz Reid has converted a terrific 74.8% of his free throws this year, quite a bit more than his 66.9 rate last year.
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Timberwolves's exceptional 25.6 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Naz Reid has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Anthony Davis has been quite low this year (2.5 foul shots per game: 7th percentile).
Naz Reid ought to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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