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Naz Reid

Naz Reid Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid measures in the 81st percentile for 3-pointers converted, averaging 1.9 per game this year.

In terms of offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.5 points per game comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naz Reid has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team has shot for the highest three rate in the NBA this year (39.3%).

The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 22.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

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