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Naz Reid

Naz Reid Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naz Reid has sunk 42.9% of his shots from downtown at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

In regard to offense, the Timberwolves's superb 124.4 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.

Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Naz Reid ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a strong one; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, they have allowed the 7th-most points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (121.1).

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid has attempted and missed 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.4 more than he's missed over the course of the year playing at home.

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Bucks are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted a colossal 23.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (8th-most in the NBA).

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