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Naz Reid

Naz Reid Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naz Reid has successfully made 1.9 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Naz Reid has made 87.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 21.8 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naz Reid has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production across the board.

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