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Naz Reid

Naz Reid Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Naz Reid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 3.2 rate, Naz Reid's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 4.4 per game.

In contrast to last year's 2.6 clip, Naz Reid's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.5.

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

Naz Reid has successfully made a whopping 95.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 68.6 mark last year.

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game at home settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, their opposition has tallied 14.5 3-pointers per game (most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a strong matchup.

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the other team has attempted a monstrous 23.7 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

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