Naz Reid Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Naz Reid

NBA · Player Props

Naz Reid

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Naz Reid Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naz Reid has converted 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season on the road.
Naz Reid has tallied 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.9% rate of drained threes ranks most in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Naz Reid will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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