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Nassir Little

Nassir Little Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns

Nassir Little Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nassir Little has made 55.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

Out of all players in the league, Nassir Little rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 1.3 fouls per game this year.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nassir Little has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 14.3% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's poor 112.2 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Portland is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when the Portland Trail Blazers are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4).

The least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.

Nassir Little is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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