Nassir Little Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Nassir Little

NBA · Player Props

Nassir Little

F-G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Nassir Little Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Nassir Little places in the 81st percentile for shooting ability with a a remarkable 53.2% rate this year.
The Suns rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 16.1 points per game (25th-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, designating this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the league this year (the Wizards).
Nassir Little has successfully made 85.7% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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