Nassir Little Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Nassir Little

NBA · Player Props

Nassir Little

F-G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Nassir Little Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nassir Little has successfully made 53.8% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Nassir Little has successfully made 39.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc on his home court this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns.
While playing away from home, the Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the other team has averaged 49.2% on field goal attempts (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, making this a positive matchup.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 6thworst in in the league while playing on the road with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted an enormous 24.8 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

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