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Nassir Little

Nassir Little Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings

Nassir Little Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nassir Little has attempted 9.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (13.5).

The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to more plays for the Trail Blazers.

While on the road, the Kings have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nassir Little has missed 2.8 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from three over the course of the season.

Nassir Little has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nassir Little has attempted just 0.8 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.2 rate last year.

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