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Nassir Little

Nassir Little Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Nassir Little Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nassir Little has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Trail Blazers.
  • This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the other team have attempted a massive 20.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).
  • This matchup is a positive one for scoring; their opposition have shot for the highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nassir Little has attempted just 4.7 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 7.5 mark last year.
  • Nassir Little has sunk a mere 0.6 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 1.6 rate last year.
  • The Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.
  • Nassir Little will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

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