Nassir Little Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Nassir Little

NBA · Player Props

Nassir Little

F-G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 2:48 AM EST

Analysis

Nassir Little Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nassir Little has made 55.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Nassir Little rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 1.3 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 24th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (5.6).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.
Nassir Little is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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