Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2026

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 16, 2026

Updated Mar 17, 2026 12:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's impressive 47.4% field goal rate as the away team places 8th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The matchup against New Orleans may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the Pelicans are at home (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.4 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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