Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2026

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 13, 2026

Updated Mar 13, 2026 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naji Marshall has compiled 21.2 points per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 5.8 more than he's compiled overall this season at home.
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a hard one; when the Cavaliers are the visiting team, they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.5).
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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