Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2026

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2026

Updated Mar 12, 2026 11:58 PM UTC

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8).
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 12 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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