Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2026

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 22, 2026

Updated Jan 23, 2026 4:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -176 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naji Marshall has registered 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's registered overall this season.
In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 49.9% field goal percentage rates highest in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 4thworst in in the league at home with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Warriors is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).

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