Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 4, 2025 1:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%).
The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 30.4 foul shot attempts per game while at home settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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