Naji Marshall Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Naji Marshall

NBA · Player Props

Naji Marshall

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Naji Marshall has converted 8.5 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.2 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Naji Marshall has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 9.1 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 55.3% on shots from the field (highest in the league) against the Hawks, designating this as a strong matchup.
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 43.2% mark, Naji Marshall's three-point effectiveness has fallen this year to 25.3%.
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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