Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has posted 7.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's posted over the course of the year at home.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.
While on the road, the Timberwolves have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Myles Turner will likely see an increase in performance in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.0 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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