Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 10:23 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has totaled 6.0 defensive boards per game while at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Myles Turner will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.0 fouls per game at home this year.
The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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