Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-107/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has put up 6.3 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's hottest by this metric in recent days: 94th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Indiana Pacers.
Myles Turner will likely see a rise in productivity across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

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