Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has tallied an impressive 1.9 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly more than his 1.4 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Myles Turner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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