Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has compiled an impressive 1.8 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.4 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Myles Turner ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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