Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has put up 2.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.5 higher than he's put up in all games this season on the road.
The fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.5 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Myles Turner stands to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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