Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has tallied 5.8 defensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.
With the home court advantage, the Raptors have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Myles Turner will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to boost stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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