Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has compiled 5.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile.
Myles Turner has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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