Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has averaged 5.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile.
Myles Turner has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pacers.
Myles Turner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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