Myles Turner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has posted 6.5 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently: 95th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (which can also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Pacers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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