Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+110/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year.
The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for threes; when Adebayo is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 56.3% of their treys (96th percentile).
The showdown with Bam Adebayo when it comes to drawing fouls measures in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year when they are at home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Myles Turner comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.7 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Myles Turner has made a measly 68.3% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 76.8 rate last year.

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