Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 5/25/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · May 25, 2024

Updated May 26, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has converted 51.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's converted from three overall this season while at home.
Myles Turner has tallied 32.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The number of shots from the field against Al Horford has been very high (11.5 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Myles Turner has made 93.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.1% more than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Pacers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Al Horford in terms of drawing fouls ranks in the 25th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year.

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