Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 30, 2024

Updated May 1, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has averaged 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Myles Turner has sunk 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Myles Turner has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (2.5 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.6 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Brook Lopez is a hard one for drawing fouls; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game (8th percentile).
Myles Turner ought to see a decline in production in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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