Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Myles Turner has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's sunk in all games this year on the road.
When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez has been in the 94th percentile with a massive 11.9 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Myles Turner slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been poor at getting to the free-throw line of late: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with a mere 17.7 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a tough one for drawing fouls; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game (13th percentile).
Myles Turner will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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