Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has sunk 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Myles Turner has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The matchup against Kelly Olynyk is a difficult one; he has allowed a lowly 12.8 points per game with the home court advantage when defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls in recent days: 5th-worst in the league over the last 5 games, averaging a lowly 16.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Myles Turner will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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