Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has tallied 16.0 points per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
The clash with Anthony Davis slots into just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs burying a monstrous 0.9 three-pointers per game this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 10th-best in in the league with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road with respect to three-point attempts.
The matchup against Anthony Davis is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; when Davis is playing at home and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game (3rd percentile).
Myles Turner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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