Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has scored 16.1 points per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Dereck Lively II places in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.3 treys attempted against him per game this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Pacers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The Pacers check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have brought down 11.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (preserving possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).
Myles Turner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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