Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has notched 21.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's notched in all games this season.
Myles Turner has successfully made 65.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The rate of 3-pointers drained against Jakob Poeltl has been remarkably high (41.9%) when guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Toronto Raptors have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game (14th percentile).

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