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Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Myles Turner has attempted 14.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.Myles Turner has attempted 5.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's superb 127.0 points per game while at home settles in as the most in the league this year.This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has totaled 12.5 threes per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a challenging matchup.The rate of three-pointers made against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably high (42.5%) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game (17th percentile).
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