Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has scored 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's scored overall this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's excellent 127.1 points per game rates most in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team has shot 45.1% on field goals (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Kristaps Porzingis has been very high (2.9 per game) when away from his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
The matchup with Kristaps Porzingis in regard to drawing fouls places in the 20th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year.