Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has compiled 17.3 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 83rd percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 15.5 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

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