Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has successfully made 48.3% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 21.6% higher than he's made in all games this season while playing on the road.
The matchup vs. Andre Drummond is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.7 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile).
The Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 10thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Myles Turner has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Pacers.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 11.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Chicago Bulls (maintaining possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Indiana Pacers's unimpressive 19.2 free throws per game when playing on the road ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
Myles Turner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.