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Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/-109).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -119.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner lands in the 80th percentile, compiling a colossal 15.9 points per game without the home court advantage this year.The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.This year, their opposition has shot 31.2% on three-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a hard matchup.The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Pacers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a difficult one for shots from the field; when Sengun is playing at home and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have made just 4.5 field goals per game (11th percentile).The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 13.8 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Rockets (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).Myles Turner should suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.
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