Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has made 40.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a good one for scoring; when Carter Jr. is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 6.0 field goals per game (75th percentile).
The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.1 fouls per game while at home this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing teams have put up the 10th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (40.4%).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging just 18.8 free throw attempts per game.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Wendell Carter Jr. has been quite low since the start of last season (3.0 foul shot attempts per game: 17th percentile).

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