Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to offense, the Pacers's fantastic 127.6 points per game when playing away from home places best in the league this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have logged 17.6 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive production.
The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).
Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner places in the 86th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a monstrous 4.1 free throw attempts per game while on the road this year.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has successfully made just 48.2% of his field goals this year, a significant dropoff from his 54.1 rate last year.
Myles Turner has made a mere 23.6% of his 3-pointers this season, a significant dropoff from his 33.6 mark last season.
Myles Turner has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

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