Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's superb 127.9 points per game when playing away from home ranks highest in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).
Among all players in the league, Myles Turner registers in the 86th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a massive 4.3 free throws per game playing at home this year.

Favors Under

Myles Turner has missed 7.2 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 4.9 rate last year.
Myles Turner has successfully made a lowly 14.9% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit lower than his 33.6 mark last year.
Myles Turner has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one; when the Miami Heat are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (12.1).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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