Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Pacers's remarkable 127.6 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the strongest in the league this year.
The fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).
Among all players in the league, Myles Turner slots into the 84th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a massive 4.2 free throw attempts per game at home this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 4.9 mark, Myles Turner's unsuccessful shots have spiked this year to 6.8 per game.
In contrast to last season's 33.6% mark, Myles Turner's three-point performance has dropped this season to 17.9%.
Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.5 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The matchup against Miami is a tough one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (12.0).
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.

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