Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has scored 16.0 points per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
The matchup against the Raptors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 28th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (40.8%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has averaged 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
Myles Turner will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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